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Homicide Rates by State Decrease Exponentially as the White Population Increases Take five minutes to complete the Poll on Exiling Blacks
Knowing only the percentage of Whites, Blacks and Hispanics is all that's required to calculate each state's homicide rate to within an amazing degree of accuracy. For example, we know that Pennsylvania's population is 86.6% Whites, 9.7% Blacks, and 2.3% Hispanics, so their murder rate should be (0.866 x 0.7) + (.097 x 52) + (.023 x 27) = 0.6062 + 5.044 + 0.621 = 6.3 homicides per 100,000 population, very close to the rate reported by US Statistical Abstract of 5.9. We also know that Vermont's population is 98.3% White, 0.3% Black, and 0.7% Hispanic, so their homicide rate should be (.983 x 0.7) + (.003 x 52) + (.007 x 27) = .6881 + 0.156 + 0.189 = 1.0 which is exactly what is reported in the Statistical Abstract. California with 52.2% Whites, 7.6% Blacks, and 28.9% Hispanics has a high murder rate because of Hispanics rather than Blacks: (.522 x .7) + (.076 x 52) + (.289 x 27) = .3654 + 3.952 + 7.803 = 12.1, which is within 3% of their official rate of 11.8. What's incredibly misleading, and intentionally so, about the way the Bureau of Justice Statistics presents their data is the inclusion of Hispanics in the White category. 96% of the homicides attributed to "Whites" in California are committed by Hispanics, 89% in Florida are committed by Hispanics, 84% in Illinois, 87% in New Jersey, 90% in New York. The few states where Whites commit more homicides than Hispanics are the states where there are almost no Hispanics. Nationwide, 80% of all the homicides which are attributed to Whites are in reality committed by Hispanics. And this is being generous to Blacks and Hispanics, because if we apply the above formula to North Dakota with 98.2% Whites, 0.5% Blacks, and .07% Hispanics, then our calculated rate of (.982 x .7) + (.005 x 52) + (.007 x 27) = 1.1 is more than FIVE TIMES (5x) HIGHER than their actual rate of 0.2. Similarly, other states with a high percentage of Whites (like Iowa, Massachusetts, Nebraska, and Ohio) also have remarkably low murder rates. Washington, DC's unique status of having the highest homicide rate and the lowest percentage of Whites provides an insight into what would happen if there were no Whites at all. The following graph of homicide rates by state and percentage of Whites by states demonstrates that the homicide rate decreases exponentially as the percentage of Whites increases.
Conversely, it also enables us to estimate that the homicide rate of Blacks could exceed 160 per 100,000 Blacks if there were no Whites at all, which means that 52,800 of the 33 million Blacks in the country would be murdered each year were it not for Whites who created a stable culture for Blacks. This is four times higher than their current rate, so 39,600 Black lives are saved each year because of laws established by Whites.
Because 80% of the crimes attributed to Whites in the following table from the BJS were actually committed by Hispanics and Latinos, the REAL difference in the propensity of Blacks to commit homicide compared to Whites [read: non-Hispanic and non-Latino Whites] is grossly under-estimated. Of the 469 homicides in 1994 that the BJS reports as "White on Black", 399 were committed by Hispanics and only 70 were committed by Whites. So where the BJS let you believe that Blacks killed only three times as many Whites as Whites killed Blacks in 1994, the FACT is that Blacks killed 18 times as many. On a per capita basis, 3.9 Blacks per 100,000 Blacks killed Whites, whereas 0.036 Whites per 100,000 Whites killed Blacks, which means that Blacks are 108 times more likely to kill Whites as Whites are to kill Blacks--a simple fact that eludes the mediots of the country who have whined continually about a black felon named James Byrd killed by Whites two years ago, while not even able to stumble across the stories about the 12 Whites who were murdered by Blacks yesterday, or the 12 the day before that, or the day before that, or ... Isn't this the definition of genocide?
http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/homicide/ovrace.txt Bureau of Justice Statistics Homicide trends in the United States www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/homicide Racial composition of offender and victim for homicide
Percent of all homicides
White on Black on Other on White on Black on Other on White on Black on Other on
Year White White White Black Black Black Other Other Other
1976 43.5% 6.0% 0.3% 2.0% 47.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
1977 44.6% 5.9% 0.4% 2.4% 45.8% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
1978 46.3% 6.1% 0.3% 1.8% 44.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
1979 46.0% 6.8% 0.4% 2.5% 43.7% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
1980 46.8% 6.4% 0.3% 2.2% 43.6% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
1981 46.8% 6.8% 0.2% 2.5% 43.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
1982 48.1% 6.4% 0.3% 2.5% 41.7% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
1983 48.7% 6.3% 0.3% 2.3% 41.6% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
1984 50.3% 6.2% 0.3% 2.6% 39.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
1985 49.7% 6.7% 0.3% 2.7% 39.8% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5%
1986 47.1% 6.5% 0.4% 2.6% 42.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.6%
1987 47.3% 6.3% 0.4% 2.9% 42.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5%
1988 44.9% 6.6% 0.4% 2.7% 44.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
1989 43.9% 7.0% 0.3% 3.1% 44.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.5%
1990 44.1% 6.9% 0.3% 3.2% 44.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
1991 41.5% 7.7% 0.3% 3.4% 46.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
1992 41.7% 8.5% 0.3% 2.7% 46.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
1993 41.1% 8.9% 0.3% 2.7% 46.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
1994 41.1% 8.6% 0.4% 3.1% 46.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
1995 43.8% 8.0% 0.4% 3.3% 43.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
1996 43.8% 8.4% 0.4% 3.3% 43.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
1997 43.4% 8.4% 0.3% 2.9% 44.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.6%
1998 46.4% 7.5% 0.3% 3.2% 41.6% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5%
Number of homicides
White on Black on Other on White on Black on Other on White on Black on Other on
Year White White White Black Black Black Other Other Other
1976 6279 862 44 290 6855 2 29 12 59
1977 6299 828 52 346 6469 7 36 10 71
1978 6776 899 40 269 6547 5 37 5 48
1979 7054 1037 54 390 6706 4 31 10 64
1980 7384 1011 42 343 6886 7 34 9 67
1981 7588 1106 37 402 6972 8 33 11 71
1982 7183 960 44 377 6227 3 44 12 79
1983 6719 869 41 314 5739 3 38 8 68
1984 6664 816 42 341 5264 3 36 9 63
1985 6744 913 43 361 5402 5 27 12 65
1986 6896 949 54 378 6235 7 41 6 88
1987 6574 873 49 408 5861 8 35 10 70
1988 6362 939 62 389 6312 8 40 7 58
1989 6450 1029 50 457 6583 2 42 5 75
1990 6984 1089 43 502 7091 2 42 9 69
1991 6611 1220 54 541 7361 5 51 15 56
1992 6241 1272 40 410 6903 4 35 17 63
1993 6466 1393 46 432 7268 7 32 16 57
1994 6208 1306 56 469 6960 4 42 13 52
1995 6043 1110 51 454 6020 8 37 17 72
1996 5602 1077 49 417 5551 13 32 17 41
1997 5056 974 34 343 5119 5 28 17 70
1998 5188 839 36 362 4653 8 29 12 56
Source: FBI, Supplementary Homicide Reports, 1976-98. See the methodology section in Additional Information About the Data for weighting and imputation procedures used.
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