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TIMSS 12th Grade Physics

bulletHalf of American girls demonstrated by correctly answering questions about physics principles that they had been taught and had remembered those principles.
bulletOne third of boys in the highest scoring countries, 15% of all boys internationally, 4% of American boys, and a statistical zero percent of American girls correctly applied those principles to to solving 29 basic TIMSS physics problems s12alm95.pdf
bulletOf all 38 problems:
bulletAmerican girls would have gotten the correct answer more often had they just guessed on 13, or a third of the test.
bulletTheir responses were lower than the standard error 9 of them.
bulletTheir responses were so close to the standard error that they can't be considered statistically significant on another 9 problems
bulletThe US was DEAD LAST in more TIMSS 12th grade subjects than any other country.
bulletA statistical zero percent of American girls correctly applied math principles to problem solving, raising the question: "Is Marie Curie a fraud"?

timssphysics6.gif (22480 bytes)

American girls scored lower than if they had just guessed

G04 Relationship between induced current and varying magnetic field, 3% lower

G05 Direction refracted ray of light, scored 3% lower

G07 Energy transformation and collision of cars, scored 7% lower

G08 Mechanical energy of block and spring system, scored 9% lower

G09 Direction of forces in amusement park ride, scored 7% lower

G10 Minimum voltage needed to produce X-rays, scored 13% lower

H03 Photoelectric effect and kinetic energy of emitted electrons, scored 2% lower

H04 Tension of string between two falling objects, scored 2% lower

H07 Relationship between temperature and pressure with constant volume, scored 16 points lower

H08 Path of electrons in electric field, scored 11% lower

H09 Refraction and velocity of blue light, scored 5% lower

H10 Vector sum of electric forces, scored 13% lower

Scored lower than the standard error

G01 Path of electrons traveling through a magnetic field,

G14 Paths of alpha, beta, and gamma rays through an electric field

G15 Direction of acceleration of a bouncing ball

G16 Effect of pressure on water leaking from a bottle

G18 Alpha particles passing through gold

H14 Effect of density on the freezing of water

H16 Speed of an electron traveling through perpendicular electric and magnetic field

H17 Resistance of a series circuit component

G19 Lenz’s law and falling aluminum ring

H18 Television as particle accelerator

Scored close to zero or to the standard error

G11 Effect of ice melting on water level in aquarium

G12 Calculation of mass using conservation of mementum

G13 Doppler effect and moving car

H06 Induced emf in rotating coil

H12 Particle movement in a transverse wave

H13 Interpretation of a force versus distance graph

H15 De Broglie wavelength of a mobile electron

H19A Speed of sound experiment/outline

Demonstrated they had been taught physics principles

H05 Length of spaceship in flight

G02 Volume of steam

G03 Physical properties of two gases at the same temperature

G06 Process by which stars release energy

G17 Direction of force due to current

H01 Boxes sliding down inclined planes

H02 Liquid evaporation

H19B Speed of sound experiment/reason

 

Let's analyze this problem from a "liberal"'s perspective:

"This makes the assumption that those who know nothing guess randomly. IN
reality, we don't know that people guess randomly when faced with a test
question they do not understand.  Indeed, we know that they do not."

This false, hypocritical statement summarizes what it is about "liberals" educated in the US public "school" system that makes them so ignorant of the world they live in and the life's philosophy of our Founding Forefathers who made this a once-great country.   The inability and unwillingness of "liberals" to grasp some of the most basic concepts can probably never be changed, no matter how much this nation spends for "education".  They are in fact living proof that doubling the cost of education from 4% to 8% of GDP is most likely a major reason SAT scores plunged 98 points, the US scored dead last in 17 of 34 TIMSS subjects, and American 12th grade girls scored lower on one third of the multiple choice questions than if they'd just guessed.

Is it even possible that there may be some truth to the statement:  "Indeed, we know that they do not ... guess randomly when faced with a test question they do not understand"? 

No, there is not.   When American girls failed to correctly answer so many multiple choice questions, and when the test results show that they did not omit the question and did provide at least some kind of a response, then we know that they guessed at many of the answers.  Is it possible that their guesses were not random? 

The only evidence that they didn't guess randomly on many questions is the fact that they scored lower on one third of the TIMSS physics questions than if they had just guessed randomly.  This means that there was some factor that influenced them to answer the questions wrong, so their answers cannot be considered to be random.  Whether this is because they were taught the wrong thing in the classroom (even though the boys sitting right next to them were taught the right thing), or because they believed the myth about "women's intuition" and decided to rely on this rather than answer the question based on what they were taught, is irrelevant.  The fact is that being so consistent in selecting the wrong answer on this third of the test is the only evidence we have that they didn't guess randomly.  

Of the 38 physics questions for which the answers were made available to the public, the amount by which girls scored higher than if they had just guessed was statistically significant on 17 of them, the amount by which they scored higher or lower than if they had just guessed was not statistically significant on 12 of them, and the amount by which they scored lower than if they had just guessed was statistically significant on 9 of them.

Of the 17 questions or 45% of the test where the amount by which they scored higher than if they'd just guessed and their responses were statistically significant, they scored significantly lower than boys on 9 (24% of the test), significantly higher on 1 (2.6% of the test), and the difference between boys and girls was not statistically significant on 7 of them (18% of the test).   Of the 12 questions or 32% of the test where their response was not statistically significant, they scored significantly lower than boys on 4 and the difference was not statistically significant on 8 of them.  Of the 9 questions or 24% of the test where the amount by which they scored significantly lower than if they'd just guessed, they scored significantly lower than boys on 8 and significantly higher than boys on 1.

On some questions there may have been a clue that caused them to select one answer over the other, so it could be argued that guesses on some other questions were also not random.  But when their responses were not statistically significant on almost a third of the test, or 32% of the questions, we know that at least ONE question didn't provide any clues like this, which would mean that the only way they were able to provide a response was to guess randomly, which makes this statement false.  It's highly likely that their responses to all 12 questions were based solely on random guesses, which means that we know that they DID "guess randomly", not that they did not.

Because their responses were lower than if they'd just guessed or were not statistically significant on 21 questions, the results of this 55% of the test cannot be used to assess their skills. 

In summary, 32% of American 12th grade girls' responses were not statistically significant, 23% were statistically significant because they scored lower than if they'd just guessed, and of the 45% that was statistically significant, the amount by which they scored lower than boys was statistically significant on 24.4%, by which they scored higher than boys was statistically significant on 2.6%, and the difference between boys and girls was not stastically significant on 18%.  Had it not been for simple give-away questions, their average score would have been lower than if they'd just guessed, yet their final TIMSS science score was 469.

And still, only 14% of American women think men are more intelligent than women?  Where's their evidence?

Girls' Responses Percent of Test
Higher Than Guesses & Statistically Significant 45%

Significantly Lower Than Boys

24.4%

Significantly Higher Than Boys

2.6%

Not Significantly Different Than Boys

18%
Not Statistically Significant or Lower Than Guesses 55%

Not Statistically Significant

32%

Lower Than Guesses Is Statistically Significant

23%

The following Table summarizes the answers to the 38 TIMSS Physics questions for which the original problems are described.  The first column is the Question Number, the second column describes whether the question was a multiple choice problem or not, the third column is the percent of girls who scored higher than if they'd just guessed on the multiple choice questions, the fourth column is whether or not this difference was statistically significant and by what percentage it exceeded the 3% standard error, the fifth column is by what percentage boys scored higher than girls (or with negative numbers, by what percentage girls scored higher than boys), and the sixth column is whether or not this difference was statistically significant and by what percentage it exceeded the 3% standard error.

For example, Question G10 was a multiple choice question where 4.7% of the girls scored lower than if they'd just guessed. After subtracting the 3% standard error, it was statistically significant that 1.7% of them scored lower than if they'd just guessed.  4.5% more boys than girls got this question correct, and 1.5% of their responses were statistically significant.   Question H01 was a multiple choice question where girls scored 17% higher than if they'd just guessed, 4.1% more girls than boys got this question correct, and the amount by which this difference was statistically significant was 1.1%.   It was the only question which was statistically significant and where girls scored higher than if they'd just guessed where the amount by which girls scored higher than boys was statistically significant.  This was a memorization question.  On none of the questions which involved calculations did girls score higher than boys.  All of the questions

Question Number

Multiple Choice?

Percent Above Guess

Statistically Significant?

Boys>

Girls

Statistically Significant?

G1

yes

0.0%

no

2.5%

no

2

yes

34.8%

31.8%

10.1%

7.1%

3

yes

25.5%

22.5%

-3.0%

no

4

yes

-3.4%

-0.4%

9.0%

6.0%

5

yes

30.0%

27.0%

12.7%

9.7%

6

yes

23.0%

20.0%

17.9%

14.9%

7

yes

-6.7%

-3.7%

8.8%

5.8%

8

yes

-9.1%

-6.1%

3.3%

0.3%

9

yes

-7.5%

-4.5%

-4.7%

-1.7%

10

yes

-4.7%

-1.7%

4.5%

1.5%

11

no

4.3%

1.3%

1.7%

no

12

no

8.1%

5.1%

10.5%

7.5%

13

no

7.3%

4.3%

9.2%

6.2%

14

no

1.6%

no

5.7%

2.7%

15

no

2.4%

no

7.2%

4.2%

16

no

2.9%

no

1.0%

no

17

no

12.3%

9.3%

-1.4%

no

18

no

1.1%

no

1.4%

no

19

no

0.0%

no

1.1%

no

H1

yes

17.0%

14.0%

-4.1%

-1.1%

2

yes

13.9%

10.9%

-0.4%

no

3

yes

-2.4%

no

3.3%

0.3%

4

yes

-2.2%

no

19.8%

16.8%

5

yes

10.3%

7.3%

-2.8%

no

6

yes

4.0%

1.0%

9.2%

6.2%

7

yes

-15.7%

-12.7%

10.6%

7.6%

8

yes

-10.3%

-7.3%

3.6%

0.6%

9

yes

-5.5%

-2.5%

8.2%

5.2%

10

yes

-14.1%

-11.1%

7.3%

4.3%

11

yes

-

-

-

-

12

no

6.2%

3.2%

9.9%

6.9%

13

no

3.5%

0.5%

6.5%

3.5%

14

no

1.3%

no

1.3%

no

15

no

6.8%

3.8%

-0.3%

no

16

no

1.8%

no

-0.5%

no

17

no

0.8%

no

1.5%

no

18

no

0.1%

no

1.4%

no

19A

no

6.0%

3.0%

5.5%

2.5%

19B

no

33.9%

30.9%

0.1%

no

 

wpe1.gif (14747 bytes)
 
Complete scores

Download spreadsheet from timssboysgirlscorrect.xls

Only 25% of girls correctly answered Item G01 PATH OF ELECTRONS TRAVELING THROUGH A MAGNETIC FIELD, which is exactly the percentage who would have answered correctly if they had just guessed at this 4 part multiple choice question. 

Only 22% answered Item G04 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INDUCED CURRENT AND VARYING MAGNETIC FIELD, which is 3% fewer than would have answered correctly if they had just guessed at this 4 part question. 

Only 20% correctly answered Item G05 DIRECTION REFRACTED RAY OF LIGHT, which is exactly the percent who would have answered it correctly if they had just guessed at this 5 part question. 

Only 18% got Item G07 ENERGY TRANSFORMATION AND COLLISION OF CARS correct, 2% fewer than if they had just guessed.  11% got Item G08 MECHANICAL ENERGY OF BLOCK AND SPRING SYSTEM correct, 9% fewer than if they guessed.  17% got Item G09 DIRECTION OF FORCES IN AMUSEMENT PARK RIDE correct, 8% fewer than if they guessed.20% got Item G10 MINIMUM VOLTAGE NEEDED TO PRODUCE X- RAYS correct, exactly what they would have gotten by sheer guesswork.  

Only 4% correctly answered Item G11 EFFECT OF ICE MELTING ON WATER LEVEL IN AQUARIUM, only 1% higher than the standard error of 3%.

Only 1.4% (less than the standard error) got G12 CALCULATION OF MASS USING CONSERVATION OF MOMENTUM correct.  7% got Item G13 DOPPLER EFFECT AND MOVING CAR correct, but this is barely a physics question to anyone who has seen an American highway.   2% (less than the standard error of 3%) got Item G14 PATHS OF ALPHA, BETA, AND GAMMA RAYS THROUGH AN ELECTRIC FIELD correct.  2% (less than the standard error) got G15 DIRECTION OF ACCELERATION OF A BOUNCING BALL correct. 3% (about the standard error) got G16 EFFECT OF PRESSURE ON WATER LEAKING FROM A BOTTLE correct. 1% (less than the 3% standard error) got G18 ALPHA PARTICLES PASSING THROUGH GOLD correct.  0% got non-multiple choice Items G19 LENZ’S LAW AND FALLING ALUMINUM RING, and H18 TELEVISION AS PARTICLE ACCELERATOR correct.  23% got H03 PHOTOELECTRIC EFFECT AND KINETIC ENERGY OF EMITTED ELECTRONS correct, 3% more than just guessing. 1% got Item H04 TENSION OF STRING BETWEEN TWO FALLING OBJECTS correct, 19% less than if they had merely guessed. 29% got Item H06 INDUCED emf IN ROTATING COIL correct, 4% more than would have correctly answered this 4 part question had they just guessed at it.  Only 9% correctly answered Item H07 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN TEMPERATURE AND PRESSURE WITH CONSTANT VOLUME which is 16% fewer than if they had guessed. 

Only 10% got Item H08 PATH OF ELECTRONS IN ELECTRIC FIELD correct, 10% less than if they just guessed. 

Only 15% got Item H09 REFRACTION AND VELOCITY OF BLUE LIGHT correct, 5% fewer than just guessing.Only 11% correctly answered Item H10 VECTOR SUM OF ELECTRIC FORCES, 9% fewer than if they just guessed.  3% (the standard error) correctly answered H13 INTERPRETATION OF A FORCE VERSUS DISTANCE GRAPH, a non-multiple choice question. 

Only 1% correctly answered H14 EFFECT OF DENSITY ON THE FREEZING OF WATER, which is 24% lower than if they just guessed. 1% (less than the 3% standard error) correctly answered the non-multiple choice question Item H17 RESISTANCE OF A SERIES CIRCUIT COMPONENT.

6% correctly answered Items H12 PARTICLE MOVEMENT IN A TRANSVERSE WAVE, and H15 DE BROGLIE WAVELGTH OF A MOBILE ELECTRON which are non-multiple choice questions which suggest that the level of understanding was just slightly higher than the standard error s12alm95.pdf

55% of American correctly answered Item G2, demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle:

When a small volume of water is boiled, a large volume of steam is produced. Why?

A. The molecules are further apart in steam than in water.

B. Water molecules expand when heated.

C. The change from water to steam causes the number of molecules to increase.

D. Atmospheric pressure works more on water molecules than on steam molecules.

E. Water molecules repel each other when heated.

51% of American girls (vs. 48% of American boys) correctly answered Item G3, demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle:

A jar of oxygen gas and a jar of hydrogen gas are at the same temperature.

Which of the following has the same value for the molecules of both gases?

A. the average velocity

B. the average momentum

C. the average force

D. the average kinetic energy

43% of American girls correctly answered Item G6, demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle:

By what process do most stars release energy?

A. Electromagnetic induction resulting from strong magnetic fields

B. Rapid rotation of the star

C. Radioactivity in the interior of the star

D. Nuclear fusion in the interior of the star

E. Heat which was stored when the star was ‘born’

42% of American girls correctly answered Item G12 DIRECTION OF FORCE DUE CURRENT, demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle.

42% of American girls (vs. 38% of American boys) correctly answered Item H01 BOXES SLIDING DOWN INCLINED PLANES demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle.

39% of American girls correctly answered Item H02 LIQUID EVAPORATION demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle:

H2. Which one of the following statements about liquid evaporation is correct? When a liquid evaporates

A. the temperature in the air above the liquid decreases.

B. fast-moving liquid molecules near the surface escape to the air and the liquid gets warmer.

C. the gas pressure of the substance directly above the liquid depends only on the atmospheric pressure.

D. fast-moving liquid molecules near the surface escape to the air and the liquid gets colder.

35% of American girls (vs. 33% of American boys) correctly answered Item H05 LENGTH OF SPACESHIP IN FLIGHT demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle:

H5. A spaceship passes an observer at a speed of 0.9 c. The observer knows that the length of the spaceship, measured at rest before it took off, was 100 m. What is the length of the spaceship in flight as seen by the observer?

A. 19 m

B. 44 m

C. 229 m

D. 526 m

6% & 34% of American girls correctly answered Item H19A & B SPEED OF SOUND EXPERIMENT/ REASON demonstrating that they were taught and were able to remember this basic physics principle:

(a) Briefly outline an experiment Susan could do at her school, using echos on the playground wall to measure the speed of sound. Indicate what materials Susan would need, what measurements she will take, and what computations she will make.

(b) Four teams in Susan’s class did the experiment you described. Each team got a different answer. Explain one reason why this might happen.

On every question which relied on reasoning or computation, a statistical zero percent of girls answered correctly.  On thirteen 4-answer multiple choice questions, the percent of girls who answered correctly was lower than if they had just guessed at the answer.  On eight 5-answer multiple choice questions, the percent who answered correctly was just 4.75% higher than if they had just guessed.  Overall, an average of only 3.5% more American girls correctly answered all of the questions than if they had just guessed, compared to an international average of 23.2% of boys.  The percent of American girls correctly answering non-memorization questions was zero, compared to an international average of 14.3% of boys.

4% of girls vs. 15% of boys answered Item G11 correctly:

The water level in a small aquarium reaches up to a mark A. After a large ice cube is dropped into the water, the cube floats and the water level rises to a new mark B. What will happen to the water level as the ice melts? Explain your reasoning.

7% of girls vs. 40% of boys answered Item G13 correctly:

A car moving at constant speed with a siren sounding comes towards you and then passes by.  Describe how the frequency of the sound you hear changes.

1% of girls vs. 11.5% of boys answered G18 correctly:

A stream of alpha particles is directed at a very thin sheet of gold. Explain why most of the alpha particles pass through the sheet.

 

Modified Monday, September 22, 2008

Copyright @ 2007 by Fathers' Manifesto & Christian Party